Connecticut
W-L: ( 7-10) PR = 85.3087Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Drexel Colonial ( 5-11, 83.2) 11-12 211 A Fairfield Metro Atlan (15- 4, 84.7) 10- 6 214 N James Madison AAC (14- 7, 90.9) 11-13 224 H Stony Brook Colonial (19- 3, 93.7) 5-16 228 H Albany America Eas (12- 6, 84.2) 12-11 307 A Massachusetts Atlantic 10 (16- 3, 89.5) 12- 8 314 A Yale Ivy League (13- 5, 91.9) 5-17 318 A Colorado Big 12 (16- 4, 93.9) 5-11 322 A Denver Big East (16- 4, 93.8) 4-15 328 A Georgetown Big East (12- 6, 90.0) 7-18 401 H Villanova Big East ( 9- 6, 86.5) 8-10 404 H Butler Big East ( 3-13, 74.1) 15- 4 411 A Xavier Big East ( 2-14, 77.0) 15- 6 414 H New Hampshire America Eas ( 4-12, 75.9) 20- 7 421 H Harvard Ivy League ( 6- 9, 88.8) 12-19 425 H Marquette Big East ( 9- 7, 86.0) 12-10 430 N Georgetown Big East (12- 6, 90.0) 6-12
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A Drexel 11-12 -1 1 -1.69
211 A Fairfield 10- 6 4 -1 ++ 4.74
214 N James Madison 11-13 -2 -6 + 3.56
224 H Stony Brook 5-16 -11 -7 - -3.97
228 H Albany 12-11 1 2 -1.46
307 A Massachusetts 12- 8 4 -6 +++ 9.53
314 A Yale 5-17 -12 -8 -- -4.04
318 A Colorado 5-11 -6 -10 + 3.97
322 A Denver 4-15 -11 -10 -1.16
328 A Georgetown 7-18 -11 -6 -- -4.98
401 H Villanova 8-10 -2 0 - -2.20
404 H Butler 15- 4 11 13 -1.61
411 A Xavier 15- 6 9 7 + 2.04
414 H New Hampshire 20- 7 13 11 + 2.18
421 H Harvard 12-19 -7 -2 -- -4.87
425 H Marquette 12-10 2 1 1.32
430 N Georgetown 6-12 -6 -5 -1.35
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 314 A Yale 5-17 -12 -8 -- -4.04 328 A Georgetown 7-18 -11 -6 -- -4.98 421 H Harvard 12-19 -7 -2 -- -4.87 224 H Stony Brook 5-16 -11 -7 - -3.97 401 H Villanova 8-10 -2 0 - -2.20 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 A Massachusetts 12- 8 4 -6 +++ 9.53 211 A Fairfield 10- 6 4 -1 ++ 4.74 214 N James Madison 11-13 -2 -6 + 3.56 318 A Colorado 5-11 -6 -10 + 3.97 411 A Xavier 15- 6 9 7 + 2.04 414 H New Hampshire 20- 7 13 11 + 2.18 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Drexel ( 5-11, 83.2) 11-12 -16.65 23.52 1.37 1.02 -7.79
3 A Fairfield (15- 4, 84.7) 10- 6 -15.21 24.95 1.37 1.02 53.64
3 N James Madison (14- 7, 90.9) 11-13 -9.04 31.13 -0.00 1.02 -4.60
3 H Stony Brook (19- 3, 93.7) 5-16 -6.19 33.98 -1.37 1.02 -3.85
3 H Albany (12- 6, 84.2) 12-11 -15.69 24.48 -1.37 1.02 47.11
3 A Massachusetts (16- 3, 89.5) 12- 8 -10.43 29.74 1.37 1.02 63.40
3 A Yale (13- 5, 91.9) 5-17 -8.00 32.17 1.37 1.02 -3.38
3 A Colorado (16- 4, 93.9) 5-11 -5.99 34.18 1.37 1.02 -2.36
3 A Denver (16- 4, 93.8) 4-15 -6.12 34.05 1.37 1.02 -2.42
3 A Georgetown (12- 6, 90.0) 7-18 -9.94 30.23 1.37 1.02 -4.37
3 H Villanova ( 9- 6, 86.5) 8-10 -13.43 26.74 -1.37 1.02 -7.54
3 H Butler ( 3-13, 74.1) 15- 4 -25.84 14.33 -1.37 1.02 26.42
3 A Xavier ( 2-14, 77.0) 15- 6 -22.92 17.25 1.37 1.02 37.94
3 H New Hampshire ( 4-12, 75.9) 20- 7 -24.04 16.13 -1.37 1.02 30.08
3 H Harvard ( 6- 9, 88.8) 12-19 -11.10 29.07 -1.37 1.02 -6.35
3 H Marquette ( 9- 7, 86.0) 12-10 -13.90 26.27 -1.37 1.02 50.75
3 N Georgetown (12- 6, 90.0) 6-12 -9.94 30.23 -0.00 1.02 -5.07
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261.61
|
winning pts = 309.3339 losing points = -47.7198
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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